Better poll sampling would have cast more doubt on the potential for Hillary Clinton to win the 2016 election
Donald Trump’s 2016 election victory took many by surprise – most of the polling had suggested a victory for Hillary Clinton. But were the polls wrong? In new research Manfred te Grotenhuis, Subu Subramanian, Rense Nieuwenhuis, Ben Pelzer and Rob Eisinga examine the election polls’ accuracy by randomly sampling from each state’s observed voters for Clinton or Trump. They […]
This election was about race, not class or a dispossessed majority
This election was about race, not class or a dispossessed majority
While many argue that Trump owes his victory to those living in poverty and political exclusion, Rajesh Venugopal of LSE Development argues that this race was about race- while being poor was a contributing factor to who people voted for in this election, voting for Trump had more to do with being white than those other factors.
Was Donald Trump’s victory a revolt of […]