LSE Election 2016 Commentary

Understanding why Hillary Clinton lost the election

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How did Hillary Clinton lose the Electoral College in this year’s election, while at the same time winning the popular vote? Maitreesh Ghatak writes that to understand Clinton’s loss, we need to examine the groups of voters who do not have steady voting patterns: energized voters, swing voters, and new voters.

The winner of November’s US elections was not Donald […]

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    This election was about race, not class or a dispossessed majority

This election was about race, not class or a dispossessed majority

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While many argue that Trump owes his victory to those living in poverty and political exclusion, Rajesh Venugopal of LSE Development argues that this race was about race- while being poor was a contributing factor to who people voted for in this election, voting for Trump had more to do with being white than those other factors.

Was Donald Trump’s victory a revolt of […]

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    America’s real challenge is the defence of democratic institutions

America’s real challenge is the defence of democratic institutions

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With much talk focusing on the likely outcomes of Trump’s protectionist economic policies, the security of America’s fundamental institutions has gone largely undiscussed. As Piroska Nagy-Mohacsi argues, however, this is where our greatest attention must go; and warns that in the context of a populist victory this presidential election, Americans must be cautious and vigilant in defending their political institutions.

Market […]

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    What Donald Trump could do to ‘make America great again’ without destroying free trade

What Donald Trump could do to ‘make America great again’ without destroying free trade

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Investors are looking for signs that the populist agendas of his campaign will be left where they belong: on the campaign trail, writes Simeon Djankov.

For nearly two years, unsettling comments by US presidential candidates rattled international investors. The prospect of US trade wars with China and Mexico hit global markets, already weakened by the surprising result of the Brexit […]

Global implications of Trump’s fiscal stimulus

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Recent commentary on the presidential election has touched on the domestic appeal of Trump’s protectionist, “America first” economic policy. LSE Visiting Fellow Guillermo Felices reflects on the broader implications of this protectionist stance, and argues that an international backlash could undermine the sustainability of this economic position. He also notes that though the anti-establishment sentiment seen in the UK and […]

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    What does the Trump triumph mean for journalism, politics and social media?

What does the Trump triumph mean for journalism, politics and social media?

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Professor in the Department of Media and Communications at the LSE and Director of Polis, Charlie Beckett, looks at who is to ‘blame’ for Trump’s election and what this means for the future of media.

There’s been a wonderful arc to the blame narrative in the wake of Donald Trump’s decisive victory in the Presidential election.

I’m talking here mainly about […]

Trump and the Revolt of the Rust Belt

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Much has been made of the inaccuracy of exit polls and voting projections amidst Trump’s shocking win this week. Michael McQuarrie argues, however, that to truly appreciate why Donald Trump was elected the 45th President of the United States we must look beyond distortionary exit polling and come to appreciate the thoroughly regional nature of his victory. Only this […]

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    Trump owes his victory to America’s unique Electoral College system

Trump owes his victory to America’s unique Electoral College system

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Despite winning the popular vote, Democrat Hillary Clinton lost the presidential election to Republican candidate Donald Trump. This was made possible by America’s unusual method of picking a president, namely through its “Electoral College” system – which as Thomas J. Leeper argues, has serious consequences for the strength of Trump’s mandate and could reignite debate over electoral reform in the United […]

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    State initiatives on gun control and the minimum wage mean that a Trump presidency may not be as bad as some fear

State initiatives on gun control and the minimum wage mean that a Trump presidency may not be as bad as some fear

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As half of the country ponders how they underestimated Trump’s advantage, it is important to remember the state level propositions that passed across the United States last night. Sierra Smucker writes that victories of state ballot initiatives highlight the fact that a Trump victory is not necessarily a sign that American citizens are moving toward a conservative platform. Victories […]

Trump wins: what’s next?

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Donald Trump scored a stunning victory over Hillary Clinton on Tuesday. This is an election that political analysts will be debating for some time to come. How did this happen and what does Trump’s victory portend, both domestically and internationally? LSE US Centre Director, Peter Trubowitz, offers some provisional thoughts on these issues.  
What explains Trump’s victory?
Many things obviously: a politically vulnerable opponent, lower voter […]

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