2016 Presidential Election

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    The US’ failure to provide vocational training is a massive policy failure which supports Donald Trump

The US’ failure to provide vocational training is a massive policy failure which supports Donald Trump

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Over the course of this election, Donald Trump’s campaign slogan has been to ‘make America great again’, and he has largely blamed other countries and immigrants for reducing the country’s agency and power. Why have so many Americans seized on this rhetoric? Dennis J. Snower argues that the government has failed to help many Americans to acquire new skills […]

Election 2016: live updates from USAPP experts

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A United States Centre public lecture with Marc Hetherington, Professor of Political Science at Vanderbilt University.

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    What to look for tomorrow: minority turnout and will Republicans come home to Trump?

What to look for tomorrow: minority turnout and will Republicans come home to Trump?

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On Tuesday, the US will go to the polls to elect the 45th president. US Centre Director, Peter Trubowitz gives an overview of what to look for tomorrow. He writes that for both candidates, maximizing turnout of key groups will be the key to victory.

 

Listen to Peter Trubowitz’s election preview interview for the Ballpark:

1) As American voters go to the […]

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    Using citizen forecasts we predict that with 362 electoral votes, Hillary Clinton will be the next president

Using citizen forecasts we predict that with 362 electoral votes, Hillary Clinton will be the next president

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Who will be the next US President?  Some commentators have argued that voter intention polls are flawed because it is difficult to know who will actually turn out to vote. To get around this problem, Andreas Murr, Mary Stegmaier, and Michael S. Lewis-Beck use citizen forecasts, a “who do you think will win” survey question, to predict the election […]

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    Why a World Series win for Cleveland tonight could help tip a swing state to Hillary Clinton

Why a World Series win for Cleveland tonight could help tip a swing state to Hillary Clinton

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Tonight, the Chicago Cubs face the Cleveland Indians at the latter’s home ground in Ohio. Taking into account studies which suggest that sports victories can help incumbent candidates to win re-election, Sam Power writes that the outcome of the game could help tilt which way the Buckeye State votes – and therefore the entire presidential election. 

As the clock strikes […]

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    In Missouri’s Senate race, Democrat Jason Kander’s positioning as an outsider has turned Roy Blunt’s incumbency into a disadvantage.

In Missouri’s Senate race, Democrat Jason Kander’s positioning as an outsider has turned Roy Blunt’s incumbency into a disadvantage.

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Republican Roy Blunt won Missouri’s open Senate seat in 2010 by a wide margin, but is now running neck and neck with his 2016 challenger, Democrat Jason Kander. As part of our series covering key Senate races in the 2016 election, Robynn Kuhlmann writes that Kander’s anti-establishment campaign which has called for change has turned Blunt’s incumbency into a […]

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    Why Fox News’ attacks on Hillary Clinton won’t work at this late stage of the campaign.

Why Fox News’ attacks on Hillary Clinton won’t work at this late stage of the campaign.

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The media has played a massive role in the 2016 election, with many attributing Donald Trump’s popularity to the coverage given to his campaign by television networks such as Fox News and CNN. But what effect does media bias have on the public’s opinion of a candidate? In new research which examines Fox News’ coverage of Barack Obama during […]

Breitbart, Steve Bannon and Donald Trump against the world

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As we reach the close of the 2016 presidential campaign, Walter Dean Burnham writes that the unstable dynamics of the election have their roots in a crisis of legitimacy for American politics as a whole. With his calls to return to a more idealized past of American greatness, Donald Trump has set himself up as a “savior with a […]

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    Why we should thank Donald Trump for making a Hillary Clinton presidency possible.

Why we should thank Donald Trump for making a Hillary Clinton presidency possible.

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Now that the imminent danger of a Donald Trump victory in November is not so imminent, Rajesh Venugopal writes that perhaps now we can look beyond the fear and outrage to reflect on the legacy that Trump’s candidacy leaves behind.

Let us for a minute leave aside the alarm, anger and anxiety about Donald Trump’s bizarre presidential campaign. The Donald’s […]

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    The 1980s Republican roots of Hillary Clinton’s early voting strategy

The 1980s Republican roots of Hillary Clinton’s early voting strategy

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Despite extensive coverage of early voting as a campaign tool this election cycle, it is not a wholly new phenomenon. In fact, the Clinton campaign’s exploitation of early voting as a part of her ground game has roots in similar efforts by Republican candidates during the 1980s. As Mara Suttmann-Lea explains, candidates can – and do – exploit early […]

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