Who will be the next US President? Some commentators have argued that voter intention polls are flawed because it is difficult to know who will actually turn out to vote. To get around this problem, Andreas Murr, Mary Stegmaier, and Michael S. Lewis-Beck use citizen forecasts, a “who do you think will win” survey question, to predict the election […]
Amid allegations of widespread voter fraud from the Trump campaign, the American public has turned its gaze to the maintenance of voter registration lists. John Lindback and Mary Stegmaier provide an overview of the challenges posed by America’s decentralized voter registration system, and discuss reforms that are already underway to improve the accuracy of voter rolls.
Officials who administer elections […]
The recent surge in public attention to election predictions has generated much discussion about how to improve forecasting model accuracy. Michael S. Lewis-Beck and Mary Stegmaier argue that advances in weather forecasting hold lessons for election forecasting. First, like weather models, election models should be based on sound theory. Second, more intensive data gathering, especially at the state level […]
While economists and financial analysts have long been interested in the impact of stock market changes on the financial decisions of individuals, especially at times of booms and busts, political scientists have just recently started to analyze how stockholding and market performance affect Americans’ attitudes and political behavior. A recent study by Christine Fauvelle-Aymar and Mary Stegmaier finds that U.S. […]
Book Review: Unsettled: What Climate Science Tells Us, What It Doesn’t, and Why It Matters by Steve Koonin
Book Review: Welcoming New Americans? Local Governments and Immigrant Incorporation by Abigail Fisher Williamson
Information about celebrities’ political activities can influence how people think about political parties
Are US and Chinese leaders passing the stress test posed by the Covid-19 crisis?
Ayşe Işın Kirenci reviews The New Age of Empire: How Colonialism and Racism Still Rule the World by Kehinde Andrews
Matt Bluemink reviews What Do We Know and What Should We Do About Fake News? by Nick Anstead
Kyle Scott reviews Meddling in the Ballot Box: The Causes and Effects of Partisan Electoral Interventions by Dov H. Levin 
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