Robert S. Erikson

  • Permalink Gallery

    National polls and district information point to a 10 seat GOP midterm swing in the House to 244 seats.

National polls and district information point to a 10 seat GOP midterm swing in the House to 244 seats.

Share this:

This midterm cycle, much commentary has been focused on Senate races, given that the Republican Party looks very likely to hold and increase its seats in the House of Representatives. But how many House seats should the GOP expect to win? With a week to go, Joseph Bafumi, Robert S. Erikson, and Christopher Wlezien give an updated House forecast. […]

  • Permalink Gallery

    Early campaign economic perceptions can help to predict the national verdict on Election Day

Early campaign economic perceptions can help to predict the national verdict on Election Day

Share this:

It is well known that elections are determined by certain fundamental variables: internal factors that reflect voters’ long-term political predispositions and external factors that are unique to each campaign. Robert S. Erikson and Christopher Wlezien examine how one external factor, the state of the economy, compares to how voters’ internal factors evolve over the final 200 days of presidential […]

This work by LSE USAPP blog is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 3.0 Unported.