Natacha Postel-Vinay

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    Real estate bubbles leading to bank troubles — 2008? Not exactly

Real estate bubbles leading to bank troubles — 2008? Not exactly

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Natacha Postel-Vinay finds a strong link between mortgage lending and bank failure in the 1930s.

The recent financial crisis suggested an important connection between real estate investments and bank trouble, especially in the U.S. In fact, this is nothing new. Although financial crises can have multiple and varied causes, real estate investment booms are likely to bode particularly ill for […]

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    The experience of the U.S. Great Depression suggests parallels between 1920s mortgage lending and the recent financial crisis  

The experience of the U.S. Great Depression suggests parallels between 1920s mortgage lending and the recent financial crisis  

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Bank lending was at the heart of the Global Financial Crisis when it began in 2008, with the collapse of subprime and ‘piggyback’ loans having detrimental effects. Using newly-discovered archival documents and a newly-compiled dataset from 1934, Natacha Postel-Vinay looks at the lessons of the Great Depression. She writes that the prevalence of ‘second mortgages’ (loans which supplemented regular mortgages […]

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