Mattias Polborn

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    National polarization means that it no longer pays for local candidates to appeal to all voters

National polarization means that it no longer pays for local candidates to appeal to all voters

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In theory, political candidates who have the widest appeal are the most likely to win elections. But recent decades have shown us that this is decidedly not the case: polarization now means that quite extreme candidates win elections in many districts. Mattias Polborn uses a new model of legislative elections and finds that extreme candidates are likely to prevail […]

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    Why a move to a simultaneous Presidential Primary system might be counter-productive.

Why a move to a simultaneous Presidential Primary system might be counter-productive.

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Despite the current wall-to-wall coverage of the 2016 primary race, the primary elections themselves are not scheduled to begin until February 2016, and will last until June. This drawn-out primary cycle gives a great deal of influence to a small number of voters in early primary states, such as Iowa and New Hampshire. George Deltas, Helios Herrera and Mattias […]

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    Party realignment on cultural issues is responsible for increased political polarization in presidential elections

Party realignment on cultural issues is responsible for increased political polarization in presidential elections

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The past twenty years has seen three government shutdowns and an unprecedented number of filibusters. While these trends seem symptomatic of increasing political polarization it is exceedingly difficult to measure the difference between the two parties over a long period of time. Using data from the American National Election Survey, Stefan Krasa and Mattias Polborn examine policy divergence in presidential […]

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