Kevin Fahey

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    What Happened?: The 2020 election confirmed that Ohio is no longer a swing state.

What Happened?: The 2020 election confirmed that Ohio is no longer a swing state.

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Once seen as the archetypal swing state, Ohio has voted for the Republican candidate in the last two presidential elections. Kevin Fahey takes a deep dive into the changing electoral fortunes of the Democratic Party in The Buckeye State, writing that while the party tends to perform well in urban areas in many other Midwestern states, this is not […]

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    What Happened?: Florida has already sounded a 2024 warning for Joe Biden

What Happened?: Florida has already sounded a 2024 warning for Joe Biden

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Once thought of as a battleground state, Florida now leans Republican in presidential elections. Kevin Fahey takes a close look at county-by-county results and trends in the 2020 election in the Sunshine State and finds that given the Republican Party’s growing appeal in rural areas, there is no further deep well of Democratic voters for Joe Biden to turnout. […]

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    Primary Primers: Moving the Republican convention is all about Trump’s ego – not his reelection

Primary Primers: Moving the Republican convention is all about Trump’s ego – not his reelection

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The COVID-19 pandemic has caused major shifts and changes to this election year’s political schedule, among them the Republican National Committee’s decision to shift the party’s presidential nominating convention from Charlotte, North Carolina, to Jacksonville, Florida. Kevin Fahey writes that President Trump has been the driving force behind this change, and that he believes that moving the convention will […]

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    Primary Primers: Why the Democrats may have a shot at winning Ohio this fall

Primary Primers: Why the Democrats may have a shot at winning Ohio this fall

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While Ohio has historically been considered to be a swing state, in the 2016 election, The Buckeye State went against the national trend and voted for Donald Trump. Kevin Fahey takes a close look at how the presidential election may unfold in Ohio, writing that because of the potential impact of COVID-19 on the economy, and the likelihood of […]

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    Primary Primers: Why Florida may matter very little in the 2020 presidential election

Primary Primers: Why Florida may matter very little in the 2020 presidential election

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The Sunshine State has always been considered one of the most important swing states in US presidential elections, famously deciding the 2000 election result by a narrow and contested vote margin. Kevin Fahey argues that, if we look at the evidence of recent state-wide and federal elections, Florida tends to lean Republican, and given Trump’s political coalition, is unlikely […]

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