Iran

  • Rafsanjani and Khamenei
    Permalink Rafsanjani with newly elected Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, 1989.  Source: Khamenei.irGallery

    What US policymakers can learn about Iran from the life and death of Rafsanjani

What US policymakers can learn about Iran from the life and death of Rafsanjani

by Adam Weinstein

On the eve of Ayatollah Hashemi Rafsanjani’s death, he was no longer a hardliner. But he wasn’t a reformist either. Many Western newspapers described him as ‘Iran’s ex-president’ in their elegies of him but his legacy dwarfs that characterisation. US policymakers should study both his life and the reaction to his death to understand the complexities of the […]

  • Permalink Supreme Leader Khamenei voting in 2013 Presidential Election of IranGallery

    Iran’s Hardliners: The Unexpected Winners of the US Elections

Iran’s Hardliners: The Unexpected Winners of the US Elections

by Pejman Abdolmohammadi

With the surprise election of Donald Trump, many are concerned about the future of the nuclear deal with Iran. But this new direction in the US will not only affect Iran’s foreign relations. The rise of conservative ideology in American politics will also have impact on internal balances of power in the Islamic Republic. It will strengthen […]

  • Permalink Marines as the ship passes through the Strait of Hormuz. © U.S. Naval Forces Central Command/U.S. Fifth Fleet, 2014.Gallery

    تهديدات إيران في مضيق هرمز: تحليل بناءً على «نظرية الألعاب»

تهديدات إيران في مضيق هرمز: تحليل بناءً على «نظرية الألعاب»

عمر العبيدلي
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طُوّرت «نظرية الألعاب» بعد نهاية الحرب العالمية الثانية؛ لمساعدة أصحاب القرار في تحليل القرارات المتداخلة – لدى جهات متعدّدة – حينما يعتمد خيار جهة ما، على خيارات جهات أخرى، خصوصاً القرارات المتعلقة بالصراعات على الموارد. (والبديل هو «نظرية القرارات» – التي تنطبق على القرارات غير المتداخلة – حينما لا يعتمد قرار جهة ما على […]

Iran’s Threat to Block Hormuz: A Game Theory Analysis

by Omar Al-Ubaydli
اقرأ المقال باللغة العربية

Game theory was developed in the wake of World War 2 to assist policymakers in analysing interdependent decision-making, which arises when what you want to do depends upon what others want to do, most notably in situations relating to conflict over resources – the alternative is decision theory, where your decision is independent of others’ […]

May 16th, 2016|Analysis, GCC, Iran|1 Comment|

Some reflections on the Iranian elections

by Ali Ansari

Few countries manage the political spectacle of elections as well as Iran. Frequently controversial and rarely dull, the election process tends to follow three distinct phases of negotiation, only one of which actually involves the electorate. The first relates to the process of candidate registration and vetting, which in the absence of coherent political parties, usually involves […]

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